Treck Co. expects to pay €200,000 in one month for its impor…

Treck Co. expects to pay €200,000 in one month for its imports from Greece. It also expects to receive €450,000 for its exports to Italy in one month. Treck Co. estimates the standard deviation of monthly percentage changes of the euro to be 3 percent over the last 40 months. Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed. Using the value-at-risk (VAR) method based on a 95% confidence level, what is the maximum one-month loss in dollars if the expected percentage change of the euro during next month is -2%? Assume that the current spot rate of the euro (before considering the maximum one-month loss) is $1.23.

Consider an MNC that is exposed to the Taiwan dollar (TWD) a…

Consider an MNC that is exposed to the Taiwan dollar (TWD) and the Egyptian pound (EGP). 25% of the MNC’s funds are Taiwan dollars and 75% are pounds. The standard deviation of exchange movements is 5% for Taiwan dollars and 7% for pounds. The correlation coefficient between movements in the value of the Taiwan dollar and the pound is .7. Based on this information, the standard deviation of this two-currency portfolio is approximately: