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Right now, show all of your work to the Honorlock proctor by holding up each piece of paper in front of your camera, that you intend to upload in Canvas after the exam.   Within 30 minutes after completing the​ exam, scan or take a picture of each paper containing relevant work and upload each under the appropriate test in the Canvas drop box attached to the study guide.  You do not need to upload your study notes. ​By uploading your​ work, I am able to give partial credit on missed problems.  Some problems may require work to be shown for any credit.   ​Finally, please note that the automated grade for this test is NOT correct. I will be grading these exams by hand and providing feedback below the problems.  You may view this feedback by clicking on the test in Canvas Gradebook. It may take roughly one week after you take the exam to receive your official score.

To win the jackpot when playing Oregon’s Game Megabucks, a player must correctly pick the same 6 numbers from the numbers 1 to 48, in any order, that are randomly chosen later.  Show all work. What is the probability of winning the jackpot with one play?  Leave your answer as a fraction. With such a low probability, why do you think people play the lottery? Source: oregonlottery.org

Data indicates that 10% of women aged 65 years or older have anemia*.   A clinician tests the blood of 6 women that are 65 years or older.  Find the probability that at least one of the women has anemia.  Round your final answer to three decimal places.  Show all work. *Data from Bloodjournal.org and published in the 6th edition of your textbook.

Which of the following best describes “random sampling” in public opinion surveys?

The spoils system allowed local party organizations to operate as machines with considerable power over their members.

The main goal of most media, regardless of format, is to increase their audience and thereby make more money.

The media has a significant influence on how the public interprets and evaluates political events and issues.  This effect is known as what?

The United States primarily uses a plurality, winner-take-all, system of elections.  According to Duverger’s Law, how many major parties are countries that use this system likely to have?

Which of the following is an example of an open-seat election?

Suppose a reputable polling firm conducts a random survey of Americans regarding Obama Care.  The survey reports its findings as follows: 55% support Obama Care  41% do not support Obama Care 4% don’t know/not sure The poll claims a (sampling) margin of error of +/- 3% with a 95% confidence interval.  What does the survey tell us regarding Americans’ support for Obama Care?