Blog

Which of the following is an example of the projection bias?  

She gently reached out ______ her newborn’s hand, comforting the baby as it whimpered softly.

Being bored at the family reunion, some kids were very _______ trying to escape from the dinner table, quietly crawling under the table.

The manager confirmed that the necessary equipment and training would be ______ her disposal, ensuring she had what she needed to succeed.

In analyzing changes in people’s travel patterns following major terrorist attacks on airplanes and trains, Gigerenzer (2004) and Lopez-Rousseau (2005) both provided evidence that  

She tried in ______ to convince her boss to extend the deadline, but he refused to make any exceptions

Another term for statistical prediction is known as:  

Theories of bounded rationality take into account that fact that we make decisions based on:  

Question set 1: (5pts) Answer ONE of the following questions below (be sure to indicate which question you are answering) NOTE: You can use the calculator and white board to ‘show your work’  within this exam if need to.      Suppose there is a 50% chance that you will have a pop quiz tomorrow morning in math class, and a 50% chance that you won’t. Should you (1) study for it or (2) not? Using a 1-5 scale (where 1=extremely undesirable and 5=extremely desirable) to indicate your utilities for the four possible outcomes (e.g., one possible outcome is you study for it and there is a pop quiz), calculate the answer to this question. You can use table function in the menu toolbar). Click on insert–>table You can also show your work by using the insert equation function.    The prevalence of Down syndrome in fetuses is 1% for pregnant women who are 40 years of age. Suppose that a widely used screening procedure gives a positive result in 60% of women who do have a baby with Down syndrome, and also in 10% of women who don’t actually have a baby with Down syndrome. What is the probability that a pregnant 40-year-old woman who tests positive actually has a baby with Down syndrome? Using a natural frequency diagram, please (a) calculate the answer to the question above (leaving it as a fraction is OK), and (b) explain why it is essential that base rates be taken into account in calculating the answer.  You can use table function in the menu toolbar). Click on insert–>table You can also show your work by using the insert equation function.   

While the political debate raged on, she remained ______, quietly reading her book and ignoring the heated discussion.