Hal is a third-year medical student in Wisconsin. Yesterday…

Questions

Hаl is а third-yeаr medical student in Wiscоnsin. Yesterday he was reading a paper abоut Dengue Fever, which cоmes from a virus transmitted via mosquitoes. The primary symptoms are fever, vomiting, aches and pains, and fatigue. It is incredibly uncommon in the state of Wisconsin (particularly in winter). The next day, Hal is seeing a patient whose symptoms are a good fit to Dengue fever. The symptoms are also a pretty good fit to the flu (though a slightly less good fit than the fit to Dengue fever). The flu right now is very common in Wisconsin. In his mind, Hal overestimates how common Dengue Fever might be in Wisconsin right now. He also focuses strongly on the fact that the symptoms are a very slightly better fit to Dengue Fever than to flu. As such, he gives the patient a diagnosis of Dengue fever. Hal’s overestimation of the commonness of Dengue Fever based on the fact that he was just reading about Dengue Fever, is a good example of what decision-making error?